Introduction
Question: Is CTCL misrepresenting the information on the IRS Form 990 stating that the PURPOSE of the grants were to help support the SAFE administration of public elections during the Covid-19 pandemic?
Background
This is Part XXXVII in The NGO Project series which examines the role NGOs had in determinative outcomes in the 2020 Presidential Election. In prior articles, I focused on the effect the Center for Technology and Civic Life (CTCL) had on AZ, CO, CT, GA, IA, IL, IN, ME, ME, MI, MN, MT,NC, NH, NJ, NE, NM, NY, OH, OR, PA, RI, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, and WI.
This article will solely focus on Wyoming where CTCL did not provide grants.
What happens when CTCL does not spend money in a state?
A state that was very heavy R went 7% more D based on the weighted average 2020DIFF without any CTCL money.
The 2016D/R is 0.310 (not weighted). The 2020D/R average is 0.366 (not weighted).
The only analysis I can offer is to look at Teton County where Jackson Hole is located. This is a heavily D county, much more so than the rest of the state. The D/R2020 for Teton County was 2.269 which was orders of magnitude higher than any other county and also had a 2020DIFF value of 0.4033 or 40% more D votes in 2020.
All Counties
CTCL IRS Form 990 (revised form from Jan 2022 used)
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The math here is simple, try this on your own. It is a model to look for trends, not an exact science.