The NGO Project Part XXXVIII: CTCL in MO

Salus populi suprema lex esto: The welfare of the people is the supreme law

May 27, 2022

Introduction

Question: Is CTCL misrepresenting the information on the IRS Form 990 stating that the PURPOSE of the grants were to help support the SAFE administration of public elections during the Covid-19 pandemic?

Answer: It appears so given the results of both aggregate, state and county by county analysis as we will see below. It appears this is a quantifiable democrat ballot harvesting operation.

Background

This is Part XXXVIII in The NGO Project series which examines the role NGOs had in determinative outcomes in the 2020 Presidential Election. In prior articles, I focused on the effect the Center for Technology and Civic Life (CTCL) had on AZ, CO, CT, GA, IA, IL, IN, ME, ME, MI, MN, MT, NC, NH, NJ, NE, NM, NY, OH, OR, PA, RI, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WI and WY.

This article will solely focus on CTCL in Missouri (MO).

Calculation Basis

The calculation basis was previously explained in detail here. In this article, I do make one adjustment and that is to calculate the 2020DIFF factor by weighted average rather than arithmetic average.

Analysis

42 of 115 MO counties (37%) received CTCL grants.

Total votes cast in CTCL counties were ~ 1,868,877 (62%) and NonCTCL counties was ~ 900,426 (38%). To state it a different way, on a per county basis, CTCL had the opportunity to influence 62% of MO voters.

The total amount of grants to MO was ~ $7,900,000 and the value of individual grants ranged from ~ $5,000 to $2,073,915

This table includes the top 5 CTCL grants by county. (The grants to Kansas City are spread out between Jackson, Clay, Cass and Platte counties.)[edited]

$5,824,518 of the grants (73%) were focused in the 5 counties above. The $/vote spent by CTCL in these five counties range from $3.01/vote to $6.23/vote (all parties). The vote totals in these 5 counties account for ~43% of the votes in MO.

To state that a different way, 73% of the grants were spent on 43% of the total votes cast in MO. Is that fair if this was all about a Plandemic?

The average 2016 D/R ratio for CTCL Counties was 0.494 (not weighted). The average 2016 D/R ratio for NonCTCL Counties was 0.289 (not weighted). This means that CTCL grants were provided to more D leaning counties. The top 5 counties in terms grants had a average 2016 D/R ratio of 1.915….big time D areas for sure. This is ~6x the NonCTCL county average in 2016. More bias in favor of D.

To continue on this track, if you look at all the counties in 2016 that had a D/R ratio of less than one (R leaning counties), there were 111 (96%) counties. In total, they received ~ $2.3MM in grants in 2020. This is a stingy ~ 29% of the total 2020 CTCL grants in MO. These counties contributed ~1,776,812 votes (all parties) in 2016 which is 48% of the vote total.

To put it a different way, 29% of the 2020 CTCL grants went to counties where 48% of the votes were cast in 2016 in NonCTCL counties. More bias in favor of D.

The top R leaning counties in 2016 that received CTCL money in 2020…..

Do these facts alone confirm or disapprove my thesis that the grants were NOT used for public safety?

2020DIFF Calculated with Weighted Average

For this analysis, I used a slightly different way to calculate the 2020DIFF using a weighted average based on total votes in a county. This is what it looks like.

w = Total County Vote / Total State Vote

a = D/R2020 - D/R2016 (for CTCL Counties)

a' = a * w (per county)

2020DIFF = sum(a'1:a'n)

This method in theory permits a better correlation for D vote harvesting because it is weighted for counties with higher vote totals.

The 2020DIFF for CTCL counties is 0.130 and for NonCTCL counties it is 0.010. This means that the CTCL D vote harvesting factor in CTCL entities is 0.130-0.010 = 0.120 or ~ 12%. The number of D votes harvested based on this model is “conservatively” ~121,000 D votes or a potential swing of ~ 240,000 votes. Given that Trump beat Biden by ~ 465,000 votes, CTCL spent a lot of money in MO but did not push the needle enough to flip it to Biden.

These are all of the CTCL counties. Lots of red here….

Noteworthy R Stalwarts

These are all of the R stalwarts in terms of -2020DIFF which indicates higher R turnout as a ratio to D between 2016 and 2020. Only ~$200,000 was spent in all of these counties….a pittance.

Conclusion

CTCL issued ~$7.9MM grants in MO and “purchased” ~ 121,000 more D votes in CTCL counties than would have occurred without CTCL grants. Because of MO strong Trump support, this one was not close.

That is ~ $65/Vote….one of the highest totals in the nation.

Not a good return on your investment if you are part of the election racketeering cabal.