In Part 1 of this 3 part series here, I looked at a small, private, liberal arts undergrad focused university. The College of Wooster with 2k students.
In Part 2, I will be looking at a mid-size PUBLIC university . Miami University in Oxford OH (not FL….although FL analysis is incoming). Undergraduate enrollment is about 17k.
For context, the City of Oxford has ~ 23k permanent residents as of 2020. Here is a break down of voter registrations in Oxford.
Analysis
Let’s focus on just the residence halls.
As we go along, some context for the city of Oxford will also be compared side by side.
First, let’s look at the age distribution of the voter roll in Oxford and compare that to the age of the occupants of the residence halls, again as listed on the voter roll.
As we go through these charts, ask yourself, “Does this make sense?”
Chart 1 includes 5 people > 100 years old. They roll indicates they have not voted since 2021. That aside, the chart is heavily weighted to 20 somethings peaking on the 26 year olds. So, most undergrads I know start when they are 19 and finish when they are 23. Right?
Chart 2 confirms this trend of “undergrads” hanging out in the dorms well after graduation including at least 1, 63 year old with an interesting peak on Chart 2 at 34 year olds. The 63 year old voted in 2023 and is residing at a undergrad college dorm. Really? That requires an explanation.
Let’s compare the city of Oxford and the residence halls status and party distribution.
Here is what jumps off the page.
87% of the registrants in the residence halls are in the status “confirmation” which means they have not voted recently but are still on the rolls.
Only 194 “students” voted in the 2020 general. A total of 63 voting instances occurred going back to 2000 of this group of 1652. Why are they still on the roll (wink, wink)?
Since the 2020 general, 272 voting instances occurred through today from this group of 1652.
Compare the % confirmation of the residence halls (87.2%) to the City of Oxford which is at 39% (nothing to brag about). I suspect this is because of off campus housing.
The % Confirmation in the residence halls is ~ 2x that of the city.
The city of Oxford has 77% unaffiliated but the residence halls are an astonishing 99%. Really? Or maybe that is just the result of voter registration drives where the students are encouraged to not affiliate?
Looking at just those who are 25 yrs old or greater, let’s look at the distribution by residence hall.
Havighurst seems to the most popular place for older students to reside.
Let’s look at the years in which the students in the residence halls registered to vote.
Wow, we have some students who registered to vote in 2004. So that means if you were 18 in 2004, you would be a 38 year old under grad living in a dorm and not off campus housing? Perhaps there are older under grads, but they are living in residence halls with the “kids”? Not believable.
Here is perhaps one of the most problematic of the charts.
There are 824 registrants at residence halls that have no mail box number associated with the address. This is roughly 50% of the registrants in the residencehalls. How are these mail in ballots being delivered (or going to be delivered) to the correct person? 691 ballots have been cast from this group of address without a mailbox number since 2000. That is not to say ALL of those have been mail in votes.
The final item I will note to highlight just how “stale” the voter roll data is and how many potential “ghost voters” exist, i.e. voters in a Confirmation status.
If a guy with a spreadsheet can figure this out, why can’t the government?
Check all of my analysis here and download the roll yourself. Don’t blindly believe me.
This is not a problem with students or even the university itself. This is all about the people who are in charge of voter roll maintenance.
Next, Part 3 of this series looking at a massive public university in OH, should be “fun”.
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So part of the entire residency issue when it comes to elections is the distribution of non-monetary compensation to various school workers. That’s exploited like crazy all over the place. At a local boarding school there were 22 actual residents based on facilities, 18 of those were of voting age, but over 80 people were registered and 51 voted from that location! Legally they weren’t living in the main office they all specified, so the discretion used was way too lenient, but our Democrat Majority legislature refuses to address the issue. It’s a case of unclean hands!
I am on a campaign to have all voter rolls returned to be run and maintained solely by the counties with no interface with the state except the counties reporting their election results to the Secretary of State. No one is accountable right now! All they do is "point fingers" at each other. My reasoning is because of what NY Citizens' Audit has uncovered and, due to their lead, what I have uncovered. I started looking at the voter ID#s. In my state, over two General Elections (2020 & 2022) + 8 months, our Secretary of State issued enough ID#s to create 2 new counties. The State's server auto-generates the issued ID#s for all 33 counties. (Our state's growth has been relatively flat, 2%, between 2010 & 2020 Censuses.) Also, the state is getting aggressive about signing up "Eligible" voters through the state's "Human Services" Department. That has the potential to make the Motor Vehicle Dept.'s "registrations" look benign. What I see is the structure being put into place to destroy the concept of "county". One of the reasons "Why?" for my state is because of the massive amount of federal dollars pouring into the State to fund those "Human Services". Every federal dollar coming in gets hit with a gross receipts tax. But mostly my reason is because of what the SOS reports as "election results" does not match the "posted" election to the state voter "roll" (database). And it is not off by a little! Sadly, the rolls are not only Not maintained here, but, like NY appear to be manipulated to run elections (finding records to create predetermined results). And I would not have been able to see this if not for EDA showing me the way from the start. Thank you! Watch out for those Universities, they are about sucking federal dollars too.